Its allencompassing annual studies of oil, natural gas, coal, electricity and renewables are indispensable tools for energy policy makers. Beneath this positive outlook for renewables, however, there are again conservative assumptions. World energy outlook 2017 international energy agency. Annual additions to the global coverage of mandatory energy efficiency policies, 20 17 coverage is growing slowly 28% 30% 32% 34% 2017. International energy outlook 20 amazon web services. Pdf versions and powerpoint slide packs of the charts, maps and graphs, plus an. The iea carries out a comprehensive programme of energy cooperation among. New policy scenarios an overview sciencedirect topics. The world energy scene today some longheld tenets of the energy sector are being rewritten countries are switching roles. It represents the leading source citation needed for medium to longterm energy market projections, extensive statistics, analysis and advice for both governments and the energy business. The urr is great enough to delay any peak until after 2035. June 20 iea retd reassume page 3 of 73 acronyms and abbreviations aces achieving climate and energy security scenario iea retd adage applied dynamic analysis of the global economy aeo annual energy outlook ccs carbon capture and sequestration cps current policies scenario used in the world energy outlook. This report was prepared by the world energy outlook weo team in the directorate of. The exposition compares estimates for world liquids fuel demand and supply through the three time frames, along with their main regional and sectorial drivers.
Here is one of their graphs that indicate how much they think is left, coal, gas and oil. The ieo2017 is the first ed ition of this report to include mo del results through 2050, which are available on the ieo page of the eia website. Changes from last edition countries geographical coverage in an effort to enhance timeliness of data for countries beyond the oecd, the iea is pleased to include full coverage of selected emerging economies in this release. Share of biofuels production left and electrical capacity right growth, 20 18 and 201924 asia leads biofuel and biomass electricity market growth 20 18 201924 20 18 201924 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% transport biofuels china asean india oecd asia row asia share s h a r e o f g r o w t h b y r e g i o n electrical capacity row. Electricity of bio energy is increasing until 2035. Database documentation 2019 edition 5 international energy agency flows a new industry sector aggregate manufacturing has been added. In a world where big differences in regional energy prices impact. For detailed discussion see the weo2015 publications on iea web site. Decomposition of passenger transport final energy use, 200017 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 2000 energy use activity intermode shift vehicle type occupancy efficiency 2017 energy use ej avoid shift improve source. Global electricity power generation rises from 21 400 twh in 2010 to over 36 000 twh in 2035 new policies scenario iea, 2012 3. Pdf international energy agency journal researchgate.
World energy outlook special report on energy and climate. Thunder horse south expansion project in the us gulf of mexico. The international energy outlook 20 ieo20 presents an assessment by the u. Energy outlook downloads and archive energy economics home. Iea world energy outlook 2017 describes a world in. The world energy outlook weo assessed this very topic in. Iea world energy outlook, 2002 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 million tonnes of co2 world oecd transition economies developing countries world emissions increase by 1. The annual world energy outlook weo is the worlds most authoritative source of energy market analysis and projections, providing critical analytical insights into trends in energy demand and supply and what they mean for energy security, environmental protection and economic development. Nov 30, 2015 the csis energy and national security program is pleased to host dr. The international energy outlook 2016 ieo2016 presents an assessment by the u. Fatih birol, executive director at the international energy agency to present the iea s world energy outlook 2015.
New iea analysis finds that globally, the oil and gas industry can feasibly reduce up to 75 percent of its current methane emissions. An added nuance in this years outlook is that the iea now expects world leading energy growth in china to be overtaken in a decade or so by faster growth in india, while rapidly growing consumption in the middle east could result in that region posting the secondhighest growth in primary energy demand through 2035, especially for natural gas. Market outlook by source of bio energy in the world. As usual, mr fatih birol is pretty optimistic about the future. The iea sees solar costs falling by around 40% between 2014 and 2040, and onshore wind around 15%. Database documentation 2019 first edition international energy agency 1.
Energy information administration eia of the outlook for international energy markets through 2040. Iea, international energy agency, world energy outlook, world energy outlook 2017 about the author joshua s hill im a christian, a nerd, a geek, and i believe that were pretty quickly. World energy outlook 2011 international energy forum. Database documentation 2019 first edition international energy agency this document provides information regarding the 2019 first edition of the iea world energy statistics database for oecd and selected emerging economies the final edition will contain global data. The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic insight on the future of energy and energy related emissions, providing detailed scenarios that map out the consequences of different energy policy and investment choices. Download the latest edition of the bp energy outlook, supporting resources or our country and regional insight factsheets. World energy outlook 2017 excerpt outlook for natural gas. Pdf the best way to meet increases in energy demand might not be to supply more.
It claims, among other things, that the united states will become the worlds largest oil producer by around 2020, and north america will become a net oil exporter by 2030. Primary energy consumption, in mtoe, from 1980 to 2012. Energy information administration eia, presents longterm projections of energy supply, demand, and prices through 2040, based on results from eias national energy modeling system. Global energy use grows by 36%, with nonoecd countries led by china, where demand surges by 75% accounting for almost all of the increase world primary energy demand by region in the new policies scenario 0 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 14 000 16 000 18 000 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 oe rest of world china oecd. It turns out that the coal share in electricity production drops significantly from 41% to 33%. Eia published an early release version of the aeo20 reference case in december 2012. Iea is a selfgoverning agency whose goals are to promote energy security amongst its 29 country members and to provide research and analysis on ensuring reliable, affordable and clean energy. The international energy agency the iea, which was established in november 1974, has over the years gained recognition as one of the worlds most authoritative sources for energy statistics. The international energy agencys iea africa energy outlook a special report in the 2014 world energy outlook series offers a most comprehensive analytical study of energy in africa, specifically in subsaharan africa, the epicentre of the global challenge to overcome energy poverty. Figures in the iea s world energy outlook 2011 report estimate the potential for ccs to contribute 22% of global co 2 mitigation through to 2035. Consider walking, riding a bike or taking public transport instead of driving, especially for.
Energy and air pollution world energy outlook 2016 special report. The world energy outlook 2016, released on 16 november, sheds light on all of these questions and more, all with the customary mix of rigorous quantitative modelling and insightful analysis. Global energy demand will grow to 2035, but government policies can influence the pace. Jj1264 wec resources coal 0610 js world energy council. Iea world energy outlook 2015, presentation to the press. The iea 20 world energy outlook ends again in 2035. Russia middle east malyaisia south africa mozambique lnggasflow coal flow new trade flow beyond 2015 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 1990 2011 2020 2025 2030 2035 mtec coal consumption row asia pacific 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 1990 2011 2020 2025 2030 2035 bcm gas. The world energy balances online data service contains energy balances for over 150 countries and regions. The iea energy atlas allows the user to quickly access the maps of production, consumption and trade.
World energy outlook 201 8 international energy agency iea worried about future developments world energy outlook the 2018 report mentions that major transformations are underway for the global energy sector, from growing electrification to the expansion of renewables, upheavals in oil production and globalisation of natural gas markets. Key findings of the international energy outlook 20 2 adam sieminski, ieo20 july 25, 20 with world gdp rising by 3. Doubledigit growth rates have been observed in the last decade for some. The paper compares the most recent estimates for energy demand and supply through the three projection timeframes of the iea and opec energy outlooks, along with the methodologies and conventions the iea and opec use. A new global energy landscape is emerging, resetting longheld expectations for our energy future. The world energy outlook explains the impact of todays decisions on tomorrows energy systems, and describes a pathway that enables the world to meet climate, energy access and air quality goals while maintaining a strong focus on the reliability and affordability of energy for a growing global population. Nov 14, 2017 in its world energy outlook 2018, the parisbased iea said it had cut its longerterm oil price projections from last year, partly because of the falling cost of both renewable and conventional. Half of the increase is attributed to china and india. Energy outlook development global energy security forum. Iea identifies key metrics to monitor energy sector achievements 100 200 300 400 500 600 co2 intensity power gco2perkwh 42% average fuel consumption of new cars 2 4 6 8 litresper100km 43% transport lighting. Four largescale shifts in the global energy system set the scene for the world energy outlook 2017. The annual energy outlook 20 aeo20, prepared by the u. Conversion factors used to calculate energy balances and indicators such as gdp and population are also provided. Reflecting its growing partnership with southeast asia, the international energy agency iea has conducted these indepth studies every two years since 20.
A note on medium and longterm global energy prospects. Iea, world energy outlook total energy and climate 300 0 300 600 900 1200 1500 united states japan european union other oecd china india middle east other nonoecd sub saharan africa mtoe lowcarbon fuels fossil fuels 100 % 80 % 60 % 40 % 20% share of lowcarbon fuels, 2040. The iea releases the world energy outlook weo2016 this week. Ieas world energy outlook 2017 center for strategic and. I was going over the iea s world energy outlook 20 and noticed a few things you might find interesting. Iea 2018c world energy statistics and balances 2018 database.
The following year, in 2011, david moved to exxonmobil headquarters to join the corporate strategic planning team where he is helping in the development of the energy outlook for 20 and beyond. The weo2016 includes a particular focus on the following topical issues. Energy agency iea and others have stressed recently. Revisiting the ieas world energy outlook 20 peak oil barrel. Eias international energy outlook 2017 ieo2017 presents an assessment of longterm world energy markets. In the latest world energy outlook, the iea pushes for global action at all levels political. Iea energy efficiency 2018 and world energy outlook 2018 kevin lane brussels, 27 november 2018. This years edition updates the outlooks for all fuels, technologies and regions, based on the latest market. Its prospects and contribution are presented in a dedicated chapter. The international energy agency iea is an autonomous body which was established in. Overview regional trends oil and gas supply investment fossilfuel subsidies and renewable energy outlook source. The iea is committed to shaping a secure and sustainable energy future for all.
In 2012, fossil fuels and in particular oil, played a key role in. Published every year based on objective data and dispassionate analysis, the world energy outlook weo provides critical analysis and insights on trends in energy demand and supply, and what they mean for energy security, environmental protection and economic development the first weo was published in 1977 and it has been an annual publication since 1998. Moreover, in developing countries, the overriding objective of a utility is to meet. Greenhouse gas emissions total refer to the sum of carbon dioxide co2, methane ch4, nitrous oxide n2o, perflourocarbons pfcs, hydroflourocarbons hfcs and sulphur hexafluoride sf6, weighted using their 100year global warming potentials. The figures are expressed in thousand tonnes of oil equivalent ktoe and in terajoules. World primary energy demand by region in the new policies scenario 0 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 14 000 16 000 18 000 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 oe rest of world china. The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic insight on the future of energy and energy related emissions, providing detailed scenarios that map out the consequences of different energy policy and investment choices this years edition updates the outlooks for all fuels, technologies and regions, based on the latest market data, policy initiatives and cost trends. The weo projections are used by the public and private sector as a framework on which they can base. The shift to a more servicesoriented economy and a cleaner energy mix in china, the worlds largest energy consumer, subject of a detailed focus in this outlook. Share of global export market for energy intensive goods the us, together with key emerging economies, increases its export market share for energy intensive goods, while the eu and japan see a sharp decline. World energy outlook 2016 excerpt waterenergy nexus. Methane emissions must be slashed for future of climate. This indicator illustrates the projected trends in energy related greenhouse gas emissions. Yesterday, 12 november, 20, the iea launched its 20 world energy outlook.
Impact of pledges must be monitored energy sector indicators are needed to track the lowcarbon transition. The world energy outlook weo is the iea s annual report on the state of the energy sector from a global perspective, providing comprehensive analysis of the interplay between energy policy, markets, and technology development. Iea energy efficiency 2018 and world energy outlook 2018. Iea 2017 world energy outlook to 2040 current policies cp new policies np sustainable development sd ieej 2017 outlook to 2050 advanced technology at reference bp 2018 energy outlook to 2040 evolving transition et cepsa 2017 energy outlook 2030 reference exxon 2018 outlook for energy. Natural gas liquefaction capacity to be commissioned in 200920 441.1065 1298 65 739 811 92 168 1043 1110 397 617 1343 993 104 1195 797 922 604 1424 751 271 1274 985 1090 1197 561 212 1074 789 8 288